CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-07-11T19:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-07-11T19:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/25917/-1
CME Note: Bright southern partial halo CME with a wider faint shock front. Its source is a large filament eruption with deep dimming and high post-eruptive arcades occurring in southern hemisphere south of AR 3363 around 2023-07-11T19:15Z (SDO 304,193, EUVI A 195, 304) centered around S35E05.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-07-14T15:55Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-07-14T14:19Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:
************************************************************************************** % Compiled module: EAM ************************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 858.0 km/sec The EAM version you are running is: v3 Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021 - DOI: 10.1007/s11207-020-01747-4] u_r = 511.494 Acceleration: 0.941862 Duration in seconds: 240918.42 Duration in days: 2.7884076 t2 is negative ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: 0.94 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 738.4 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 14/07/2023 Time: 14:19 UT **************************************************************************************Lead Time: 32.75 hour(s)
Difference: 1.60 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (UoA) on 2023-07-13T07:10Z
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